Chat Highlights From 10/09/2014

TSA Moderator ChatUser Chat
(05:37 am) Qwert :Early gap up: AUXL, LAKE, UAL. RT, (05:39 am) Qwert :Early gap down: KFX, GPS, HUB.B, ARWR (05:40 am) Qwert :consumer comfort index at 9:45, wholesale inventories at 10:00 times are EST. (05:43 am) Qwert :Also today is when TSLA unveils the “D” and something else. (06:22 am) Mitch King:Premarket UP: GTIV, AUXL, ARWR, STV, KND, LAKE, UAL, APT, ACHN, RVBD Premarket DOWN: VOD, AMD, GPS, KFX, HUB.B (06:31 am) Mitch King:watching LAKE (06:32 am) Mitch King:watching IPXL (06:33 am) Mitch King:airline stocks spiking: ALK, UAL, LUV, DAL, (06:33 am) Mitch King:monitoring SFUN, low priority (06:34 am) Mitch King:TSO moving, trending up (06:35 am) Mitch King:monitoring ENDP drop, erasing last 2 hours of runup yesterday (06:41 am) Mitch King:watching TSO for long entry (06:42 am) Mitch King:VLO same sector as TSO, oil refinery-gas stations but TSO long scalp better (06:46 am) Mitch King:watching ENDP for another long entry (06:51 am) Mitch King:correction its 12-14 (06:51 am) Mitch King:NQ 11-14 dropping (06:58 am) Mitch King:RVBD strong still (07:00 am) Mitch King:07:00 *(US) AUG WHOLESALE INVENTORIES M/M: 0.7% V 0.3%E; WHOLESALE TRADE SALES M/M: % V 0.3%E – Prior Wholesale Inventories MoM revised XXX from 0.1% to %- Prior Wholesale Sales revised XXX from 0.7% to % – Source TradeTheNews.com (07:01 am) Qwert :Lake over 14 (07:05 am) Mitch King:watching ENDP for bottom to buy (07:08 am) Mitch King:ENDP bouncing (07:10 am) Mitch King:new low on nasdaq (07:11 am) Mitch King:ES futures new low (07:21 am) Qwert :Lake over 15 (07:26 am) Mitch King:natural gas inventories in 3 min (07:28 am) Mitch King:YELP takeover chatter (07:30 am) Mitch King:07:30 *(US) WEEKLY EIA NATURAL GAS INVENTORIES: +105 BCF VS +106 TO +110 BCF EXPECTED RANGE – Link: http://ir.eia.gov/ngs/ngs.html – Source TradeTheNews.com (07:32 am) Murano :monitoring LNG (07:35 am) Mitch King:new low on indexes (07:47 am) Mitch King:SCOK (07:53 am) Mitch King:new low of day on ES [SP500 minis0 (07:59 am) Mitch King:indexes getting some buying (08:00 am) Mitch King:Draghi speaking, i think that is moving indexes (08:24 am) Mitch King:double top in NQ index (08:41 am) Mitch King:the chart in background is ES which is SP500 minis futures (08:41 am) Mitch King:new low in SP (08:43 am) Mitch King:looking for NQ futures bounce (10:15 am) Mitch King:LAKE over 18 (10:22 am) Mitch King:new all time high on LAKE (10:58 am) Mitch King:new high on LAKE (11:08 am) Mitch King:TKMR spiking (12:00 pm) Mitch King:85 on CL 11-14, thats $10 drop in a week (05:28 am) Murano :good morning (05:28 am) Qwert :Good morning Murano (05:31 am) klas :Good Morning Murano And Qwert (05:44 am) klas :Tan (05:44 am) klas :Thanks Qwert (05:45 am) Qwert :Did you guys see the move in Dust yesterday wow (05:46 am) klas :I do now (05:56 am) toby1115 :gm (06:05 am) skydiver :gm Mitch qwert Murano klas toby1115 mberl1 (06:06 am) skydiver :Thanks qwert – I forgot about AAPL’s unveiling today (06:08 am) skydiver :thanks qwert for gappers and info (06:08 am) Mitch King:thanks for info qwret (06:09 am) skydiver :ipo’s today are: HUBS NSIG VBTX OMAM VKTX MOLG USDP (06:10 am) skydiver :VKTX – been going to open several times and has not happened as of yet so skeptical (06:13 am) skydiver :AUXL – Endo and Auxilium host a joint conference call Endo Int’l and Auxilium Pharma host a joint conference call to discuss a definitive agreement under which Endo will acquire Auxilium. on October 9 at 8:30 am. Webcast Link :theflyonthewall.com (06:16 am) skydiver :ARWR – monitoring (06:23 am) Mitch King:GOT TO REset computer, oh boy (06:29 am) skydiver :Gentiva volatility low into being acquired by Kindred for $1.8B Gentiva (GTIV) overall option implied volatility of 25 compares to its 26-week average of 32 according to Track Data, suggesting decreasing price movement into being acquired by Kindred (KND) for $19.50 per share in cash and stock. :theflyonthewall.com (06:38 am) skydiver :BABA – trying for $90 (06:40 am) skydiver :ipo – HUBS (5M shares around $19 – $21) (06:42 am) skydiver :CREE – take over chatter (06:43 am) skydiver :ipo – USDP now open (06:45 am) skydiver :short CREE 32.76 (06:46 am) skydiver :ipo -OMAM now open (06:47 am) skydiver :covered CREE 32.43 (06:48 am) skydiver :busy with several stocks – hard to post (06:49 am) skydiver :USDP – all out at 16.15 (06:49 am) skydiver :IPO – may jump (06:49 am) skydiver :USDP and it did (06:59 am) skydiver :ipo – HUBS now open (07:01 am) Mitch King:LAKE makes the hazmat suits used for ebola healthcare (07:02 am) Mitch King:the nurse assistant in Spain is reportedly got invected while taking off suit as well as doctors on her team saying sleeves too short (07:03 am) skydiver :watching HUBS drop (ipo) (07:05 am) skydiver :long HUBS 31.04 – not expecting much of a bounce however (07:05 am) skydiver :3/4 out of HUBS long (07:07 am) skydiver :all out of HUBS long (07:12 am) skydiver :RENT strong this morning but low volume (07:24 am) Mitch King:chart in background is daily chart on LAKE, bullshort candidate (07:29 am) Mitch King:float in LAKE is 4.26 mil, so is volatile (07:29 am) skydiver :ipo – VBTX open – late to post (07:34 am) Mitch King:pretty big spread on LAKE for $15 stock (07:38 am) Murano :reduce LNG if short (07:39 am) skydiver :thanks for LNG Murano 🙂 (07:43 am) skydiver :LAKE – covering 3/4 here 14.99 (07:45 am) skydiver :covering last 1/4 of Lake short (07:45 am) Mitch King:you get shares to short LAKE sky, lightspeed? (07:45 am) skydiver :Yes Mitch (07:46 am) skydiver :still available – shorts on LAKE thru Lightspeed – (07:47 am) Mitch King:if this top on LAKE is lower low than previous low, consider LAKE has peaked (07:47 am) skydiver :gotcha Mitch (07:48 am) Murano :reduce LNG if long (07:48 am) Mitch King:you are killing it today murano (07:48 am) skydiver :I guess – nice work Murano indeed – pro at work 🙂 (07:49 am) freitag8 :eye on AAPL $101.50 for support and bounce (07:51 am) skydiver :ipo – MOLG priced around $10 (07:53 am) skydiver :MOLG was priced $12.50 – now priced around $10.75 (07:53 am) skydiver :ipo (07:53 am) skydiver :open – MOLG (07:59 am) skydiver :ipo – MOLG – never hit myh price – now out of time — Have a great day and see you all tomorrow – nice day – all trades green 🙂 (08:00 am) freitag8 :Good trades Sky… enjoy your day (08:05 am) Mitch King:hot move there on LAKE, odds for short increasing exponentially as it moves up like that (08:08 am) Mitch King:hey frei, you watching NatGas? (08:18 am) Qwert :This Lake is wild (08:22 am) freitag8 :Sorry mitch I was working my AAPL trade… no, I have not traded Nat Gas in a few weeks (08:23 am) freitag8 :Reducing to Tier 2 on AAPL here (08:23 am) Mitch King:COULD BE IMPORTANT TOP IN lake (08:26 am) freitag8 :Inventories came out today on NatGas right? (08:26 am) Mitch King:yeah, was much higher build than expected but NG spiked anyhow, was very low on daily chart (08:27 am) freitag8 :That $3.70 area looks like a good support level (08:27 am) Mitch King:NG 11-14 is what im looking at, no 3.7 (08:30 am) freitag8 :Thats the one I have… looking at a Daily chart for the support… (08:33 am) freitag8 :Next entry on AAPL for me is near $102 (08:34 am) Mitch King:remember if you try to buy LAKE on long scalps you are going against the trend right now. it has lost its momentum last 15 minutes. odds heavily favor the short side (08:34 am) Mitch King:longs are still viable though on deeper pullback. if you see a really big down candle, then don’t go long yet, might be some news of some sort (08:35 am) Mitch King:im basically saying it is dangerous stock to go long. it is the type of chart on daily chart you can sleep well being on the short side (08:41 am) freitag8 :eye on re-entry long on AAPL (08:41 am) Mitch King:you have to understand very clearly the mindset of the traders who have been watching or trading LAKE are shifting from greed to fear as it the price drops (08:42 am) Mitch King:Draghi talking, saying without healthy banks quant easing is not effective (08:42 am) Mitch King:that is what is causing this spike down in indexes (08:46 am) freitag8 :no go on AAPL… couldn’t find support (08:48 am) Mitch King:Draghi: euro economy may get worse, we should do whatever it takes, draghi really rattling market, he is talking in europe now. (08:49 am) Mitch King:saying europe recovery losing momentum, on and on (08:53 am) Mitch King:now bill gross is saying global economy is slowing down (08:53 am) Mitch King:rattling market more (08:53 am) Mitch King:spanish ebola patient at risk of dying, (08:53 am) Mitch King:i think ebola also adds selling to market (08:57 am) Murano :is anyone having problems with Lightspeed loading today? (08:57 am) Mitch King:when draghi is done talking market indexes should rebound, maybe for couple hours, thats usually pattern (08:58 am) Mitch King:also Fed fisher talking too, Bullard (09:00 am) Mitch King:bad new, lot of bad news headlines. Germany losing steam, Italy headed back to recession (09:03 am) Mitch King:so we have all these economic leaders talking at two different meetings and its causing lot of selling, really rattling market with their language (09:03 am) freitag8 :And Obama probably drinking Iced Tea on a Golf Course (09:27 am) Mitch King:looking for rebound (09:27 am) Mitch King:in indexes (09:38 am) freitag8 :getting a little bounce in the indexes… nice call Mitch (09:45 am) Qwert :Gotta take off and will not be here at all tomorrow see you all on Monday, have a nice weekend (09:46 am) freitag8 :You too Qwert! Enjoy the long weekend… Monday is a holiday… Columbus day… is the market open? (09:46 am) klas :See ya Qwert (09:56 am) Mitch King:a UK man died of ebola, i think he is in macedonia (10:01 am) Mitch King:i think that spike in LAKE might be related to the UK man dying, just announced 4 min ago (10:08 am) freitag8 :new LOD on /ES (10:33 am) Mitch King:the Spanish nurses asst died of ebola (10:34 am) Mitch King:conflicting reports that she is alive but in poor condition (10:34 am) Mitch King:why thats important is this is the team that had too short sleeves on hazmat suits. LAKE makes hazmat suits (10:35 am) freitag8 :you think $20 is possible today on LAKE? (10:36 am) Mitch King:possible but this looks like a top for awhile, hard to tell (10:38 am) Mitch King:the thing about this situation is any new headlines can move LAKE higher but right now we are in the “unknown” where we dont know how much further ebola is going to spread before its under control. this LAKE could continue moving up for sure over time but the chart is way too high to hold long overnight (10:42 am) freitag8 :I agree… I tried that with NETE when they said it would earn a partnership with AAPL and now I’m down about 50%… it was a small position but those headline stocks are not for overnight holds (10:49 am) Mitch King:no, especially the low priced ones like NETE. surprised you fell for that story (10:49 am) Mitch King:story stocks ruin accounts (10:49 am) Mitch King:you are a day trader, stay on day trading, not news to hold or invest in (10:50 am) Mitch King:you have to define your strengths and match your personality to the style of trading (10:50 am) Mitch King:im am an awful investor, really bad. so i dont invest anymore, just trade (10:51 am) freitag8 :thats for sure… I took a suggestion from Steve Spencer on NETE that it was a 1 week hold (approximately) and I only went in with 200 shares to start, so not too bad (10:51 am) freitag8 :you are a great investor as well Mitch… I watch the Top 10 video’s regularly and you do very well there (10:52 am) Mitch King:yeah but steve has different approach and mindset for NETE (10:52 am) freitag8 :and a lot more money to buy his way out (10:53 am) freitag8 :every suggestion Steve has made that I followed I lost money… (10:54 am) Mitch King:it doesnt match your mindset (10:54 am) Mitch King:or style (10:54 am) freitag8 :just the opposite here at TSA (10:54 am) Mitch King:learn what you like and match style to your personality or else you kep going yo yo (10:54 am) freitag8 :thats true.. (10:55 am) freitag8 :I have been focusing on AAPL type stocks and the TSA Chatroom suggestions and it has been closer to my style (10:57 am) Mitch King:then stay with that (10:57 am) Mitch King:from my observation, you havent dialed into a style yet. you jump around a lot (10:57 am) Mitch King:true or not? (10:58 am) freitag8 :thats true… I stay with something for a while but when I dont get success I jump ship… bad trade idea (10:58 am) Mitch King:wrong strategy. get really good at one thing and keep doing it (10:59 am) freitag8 :thats good advice… just gotta find one thing I’m good at besides sleeping (11:01 am) freitag8 :I have been good at trendline and support/resistance… I pegged AAPL today right on using that… I need to work on that talent and make it better and better (11:01 am) Mitch King:its not what you are good at now, its what fits your personality and style, then learn it (11:01 am) Mitch King:focus on ONE technique, only ONE (11:04 am) freitag8 :I find patience in my trading to be a hard characteristic to perfect… I seem to be too patient when I shouldn’t and not patient enough when I should (11:10 am) freitag8 :AAPL is still up on the day despite a big selloff… it’s only penny’s but its up (11:23 am) Mitch King:whoa, amazon opening a retail store, first one in NYC (11:23 am) freitag8 :a retail store? Amazon? Thats way out of character (11:31 am) freitag8 :new LOD on /ES (11:32 am) Mitch King:new update on UK citizen in Macedonia who died of ebola a couple hours ago is said to not have travelled in west africa countries. this firmed up LAKE prices and possibly drove indexes down. i think ebola is negative affecting indexes (11:37 am) skydiver :did a long on TSLA – market trying to come up (11:38 am) skydiver :all out of TSLA long (11:39 am) skydiver :I leave market in morning – sure came down a lot since then (11:40 am) freitag8 :it sure did… no moe leaving for Sky anymore… you are now required to stay here to hold up the markets (11:41 am) Mitch King:the market missed you sky (11:41 am) freitag8 :$19.50 is a hard lid for LAKE (11:41 am) Mitch King:hey sky, lot of ebola news has been lifting LAKE (11:41 am) skydiver :I see that – thnx Mitch (11:41 am) Mitch King:new deaths, latest is UK citizen in Macedonia died but never went to west africa nations (11:42 am) skydiver :wow – putting scare into everyone now for sure (11:42 am) Mitch King:almost 4000 deaths in africa but this is first wave in europe and now in USA, rattling market indexes (11:42 am) freitag8 :could have been on an Airplane with someone that was exposed (11:42 am) skydiver :right (11:42 am) Mitch King:this has to hurt travel business (11:43 am) skydiver :was thinking of a cruise again – but will pass for now (11:43 am) freitag8 :they need to find a better system to screen travelers from infected areas (11:43 am) Mitch King:just borrow my fishing boat and go on columbia (11:43 am) skydiver :humm — fly to Mexico – drive to border — walk into the U.S. – just saying (11:44 am) freitag8 :but don’t turn around and walk back into Mexico or you go to prison (11:44 am) skydiver :right freitage8 🙂 (11:44 am) skydiver :ok – when can I borrow your boat Mitch? 🙂 lol (11:45 am) freitag8 :nice bounce in AAPL over the last 40 minutes (11:46 am) freitag8 :LAKE at a point it bounced not long ago… I’m almost affraid to short it but going long at these levels is even more scary (11:47 am) skydiver :I’m sitting on my hands freitage8 on LAKE at moment . . . hard to know which way it’s going (11:47 am) freitag8 :exactly… I feel like a deer in the headlights (11:47 am) skydiver :right! good analogy 🙂 (11:49 am) freitag8 :Mitch gave me some good advice… to find one thing I do well and stick with it… I don’t think LAKE would fit in the ‘one thing I do well” category (11:52 am) skydiver :sounds like good advice freitage8 – one reason I hesitate to make any calls – for me the calls I make work for me, but maybe not so good for others 🙂 (12:07 pm) skydiver :Okay – have to go to a luncheon — thanks again and see you in the morning 🙂 (12:08 pm) freitag8 :oh great… there goes the markets again… You sure you gotta leave? (12:08 pm) freitag8 :have fun Sky… we’ll leave the light on for ya (12:10 pm) freitag8 :as SKY leaves the building we hit a new LOD on /ES (12:26 pm) Murano :done for the day, see you tomorrow (12:29 pm) freitag8 :Bye Murano… be well (12:31 pm) Mitch King:thx murano (12:45 pm) ponder10 :Thnx Mitch…Quite Impressive! (12:51 pm) Mitch King:see you guys tomorrow, i would think indexes would rebound some (12:51 pm) freitag8 :ok… be well and enjoy ur day Mitch… Thanks!
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