Chat Highlights From 09/30/2011

TSA Moderator ChatUser Chat
[06:08 am] Brent : good morning, had to travel yesterday
[06:09 am] Brent : First time I ever saw Kris not use a stop loss
[06:09 am] Brent : The wedding was good
[06:16 am] Brent : I'll answer that later Scalp, getting things situated
[06:26 am] Mitch K: hi guys, we cannot get our projectors working so it will probably be just a group chat here. We will be back to normal on Monday
[06:33 am] Brent : watching LVS for a bounce, support around 37.50
[06:35 am] Brent : watching LO for a short
[06:35 am] Mitch K: IR, watching for short scalp on top of this bounce
[06:35 am] Mitch K: sorry, late post on IR, already bouncing
[06:35 am] Mitch K: watching IR for bottom
[06:36 am] Mitch K: watching LVS for bounce
[06:38 am] Brent : watching QCOM here, at support
[06:39 am] Brent : SPY testing trendline resistance
[06:39 am] Brent : watching HMIN for a bounce
[06:40 am] Brent : careful with LO here if you got it short, consolidating, needs to lose $111
[06:41 am] Mitch K: MON, MOS, AGU, POT, all these ag-chemical stocks moving together, looking for a bottom to buy
[06:42 am] Mitch K: consider covering IR
[06:43 am] Mitch K: AGCO bouncing, argh, too late to buy, so watch for a short on top of this bounce
[06:45 am] Brent : KSS coming into resistance
[06:45 am] Mitch K: LVS giving bounce
[06:46 am] Mitch K: watching WU for short
[06:48 am] Brent : SPY testing lod[06:49 am] Mitch K: LO toppy
[06:50 am] Brent : consider reducing KSS if still short
[06:50 am] Mitch K: LO will take more time and patience for short
[06:52 am] Mitch K: LVS bouncing
[06:54 am] Mitch K: consider selling LVS
[06:54 am] Mitch K: watching HMIN for short
[06:55 am] Mitch K: Try for 38.55 area for selling LVS
[06:58 am] Mitch K: consider short on TSN
[07:00 am] Mitch K: MOS turning up
[07:04 am] Brent : SPY testing trendline resistance
[07:04 am] Mitch K: watch for short on top of BTU bounce
[07:05 am] Mitch K: watching for short on POT soon
[07:07 am] Brent : SPY approaching hod[07:10 am] Mitch K: looking for quick short on SLB
[07:11 am] Mitch K: watching for short with AGCO soon
[07:12 am] Brent : INTU could be a nice breakout over $50, probably won't happen today, but something to keep an eye on
[07:13 am] Mitch K: watching HIG for short
[07:14 am] Mitch K: COH is one of better shorts I've seen this morning
[07:14 am] Mitch K: good one, short soon on COH, Coach
[07:15 am] Mitch K: Looking for AGCO to drop below 34
[07:16 am] Kris : getting more green coming across the board, watch that trendline resistance.
[07:17 am] Mitch K: ag-chemical stocks still have good momentum: POT, MON, MOS
[07:18 am] Mitch K: monitor MGM for short on top of bounce, tougher trade with lower priced stocks
[07:19 am] Brent : SPY new hod[07:24 am] Mitch K: we are getting good follow through on the bounces, stronger than normal
[07:28 am] Brent : SPY at trendline support
[07:31 am] Mitch K: consider covering BTU short here 34.65 area
[07:31 am] Mitch K: KSS short here
[07:31 am] Mitch K: M turning over too, late on this, try 27+
[07:33 am] Mitch K: repeated shorts in HMIN
[07:38 am] Mitch K: I realize M isn't big percentage profit, I treat those as money in the bucket.
[07:40 am] Mitch K: TJX turning over for short
[07:41 am] Mitch K: VRUS already turned over but still money on the short side; repeated trades.
[07:49 am] Mitch K: 2nd helping in KSS soon
[07:51 am] Mitch K: NIHD bouncing
[07:52 am] Mitch K: on this COH stock, you just take the repeated short opportunities when you can, i think another short coming on top of this bounce, see if it goes to new highs though, careful, did it before once already
[07:55 am] Mitch K: VRUS at important price level if it breaks below 83.40 or moves back up
[08:18 am] Brent : SPY slowly trending up towards hod[08:28 am] Brent : good morning pow[08:29 am] Brent : acceleration into resistance around 51.50 on KSS mike
[08:30 am] Brent : has resistance from mid June consolidation, plus the 200ma
[08:35 am] Mitch K: missed the top in EDU for a short but should give a long bounce and possibly another short
[08:45 am] Mitch K: so you might have gotten this long bounce in EDU but the bigger profit potential will be in the short that follows the long. Watch for the top to short into, next 3-5 min. I will be back in 45 min
[08:46 am] Mitch K: I don't think EDU will hit new high, there is your top there
[08:46 am] Mitch K: VRUS looks like it is going to trend down today for a while
[08:53 am] Brent : missed ATPG
[09:00 am] Brent : you hanging in there on KSS derns?
[09:04 am] Brent : good interpretation on KSS derns[09:09 am] Brent : nice trade derns[09:11 am] Brent : you still have full position derns?
[09:12 am] Brent : my only suggestion derns is to trade it like it's real.
[09:33 am] Brent : MDR at support
[09:55 am] Brent : it's dead, scanner not moving
[10:01 am] Mitch K: How did you guys do with EDU short or VRUS short
[10:02 am] Mitch K: anyone short that KSS?
[10:12 am] Mitch K: that's been the pattern for weeks, probably 7-8 weeks
[10:12 am] Mitch K: when you think about what the global markets are going through, it makes sense that these stocks that ran up today are getting some selling, especially on a Friday
[10:17 am] Brent : SPY testing trendline resistance
[10:20 am] Mitch K: I'd monitor SINA for another short and it probably resumes to the longer term short scalp pattern
[12:00 pm] Mitch K: i still think there is more money on the short side with some of these stocks next hour like SINA
[12:01 pm] Mitch K: FSLR spiking
[12:01 pm] Mitch K: was anyone ready for that SINA top? maybe hard to do on Friday afternoon after a full week of trading, is tough to keep attention span to the end
[12:04 pm] Mitch K: $65 and higher
[12:04 pm] Mitch K: there is a short here in FSLR on this bounce
[12:07 pm] Mitch K: I wouldn't try for a long bounce, might work but risk management says odds not so good
[12:07 pm] Mitch K: if anyone got that short on FSLR last few minutes, consider covering half or more here 64.88
[12:10 pm] Mitch K: Brent, Kris and I were commenting last night at Kris' wedding that this is a really good group of people in the Trading Room. Makes it very enjoyable and rewarding for us. And nobody was drunk either, lol!
[12:12 pm] Mitch K: of course my wife says "Are you guys supposed be talking about work?" I said yes, the markets never sleep
[12:14 pm] Mitch K: if you are tempted to buy FSLR long, it has to go down close to $63 to stack odds in your favor
[12:16 pm] Mitch K: latest SINA short scalp acting as expected
[12:22 pm] Mitch K: sheesh, look at that EDU, went all the way back to the bottom
[12:24 pm] Mitch K: what I do at the end of the session everyday is scan really quickly all the stocks that I looked at that day. that's why I write them down on a yellow legal pad so I can review quickly. this process gives you reinforcement what it did and you can compare what your forecasts were earlier in the day
[12:58 pm] Mitch K: you guys have a great weekend. Review, study and rest this weekend. plus have a little fun too!
[12:59 pm] Mitch K: put this in your head, the more you study, the more you know, the more you know, the more you make

[01:00 pm] dano : U rock TSA family...peace out
[01:00 pm] Mitch K: ok, i see that reading now on RSI
[01:00 pm] rusty : FSLR has about a 25 rsi, sector 20
[01:01 pm] bullwind : Bye see u Monday Thanks Mitch
[01:01 pm] Mitch K: bye bull
[01:01 pm] Mitch K: good comments today bullw[01:01 pm] Mitch K: hey rusty, do you use RSI very much? Does it work for you?
[01:03 pm] lisas : bye all, have a great weekend, thanks Mitch!
[01:04 pm] bullwind : Heads up watch TNA and TZA Monday for a reversal
[01:04 pm] rusty : I use it as a general indicator. Have better "feeling" for it at rsi & 80 but it works similarly for rsi & 20 esp if waterfall kind of chart
[01:05 pm] Mitch K: do you use it like an oscillator, extreme oversold or overbought or does it work that way? i have not used RSI much in my career
[01:05 pm] rusty : i like to use it on sectors to judge the sentiment
[01:06 pm] Mitch K: look at the RSI on August 8th-9th on indexes, way low
[01:06 pm] Mitch K: ok, like the AUgust 8th-9th bottom RSI readings were very low
[01:06 pm] neuronx : Mitch you got some positions opened today for gold and silver>?
[01:06 pm] neuronx : Short swing&?
[01:06 pm] rusty : especially when multiple up/down days in a row
[01:06 pm] rusty : works best for me in extreme overbought and oversold
[01:07 pm] Mitch K: no neuro, i didn't follow through on that. on the road with Kris wedding, my main laptop died after opening virus email.
[01:07 pm] rusty : e.g when the SPY was 80 rsi[01:07 pm] rusty : very rarely seen
[01:07 pm] rusty : yes, works particularly well on indices and sectors
[01:08 pm] Mitch K: you mean the July 7th SPY was over 135 and RSI was top?
[01:09 pm] djoyner57 : KI have recently started really paying attention to what all goes on in the Trading Room, and I recently took all your webinars. I feel I have really turned the corner with what I am learning. Thanks
[01:09 pm] Mitch K: good to year joyner, keep studying on follow up with the webinar learning
[01:09 pm] rusty : yes, also works well with VIX
[01:10 pm] Mitch K: ok, you use RSI on the daily charts primarily?
[01:10 pm] rusty : as an indicator of extreme sentiment so to speak
[01:10 pm] rusty : mostly daily....I'll scan for stocks sub 20 and >80
[01:11 pm] Mitch K: right, ok,
[01:11 pm] Mitch K: so that list is a starting point after a type of "filter" applied to a large group of stocks
[01:11 pm] rusty : put an rsi on the vix and back up the truck when everyone is selling
[01:11 pm] rusty : to get a list
[01:12 pm] Mitch K: and at first glance, also works well on leveraged ETFs
[01:12 pm] Mitch K: i see that RSI on VIX,
[01:12 pm] Mitch K: seems to show more extremes on VIX
[01:12 pm] rusty : happens rarely but if you have the cash at that point buy and hold for 72 hours
[01:12 pm] rusty : or more
[01:12 pm] rusty : yes i notice that also
[01:13 pm] Mitch K: I'm sorry, what rarely happens?
[01:13 pm] Mitch K: right, ok, the default on the reference lines of the RSI appears to be around 75-25, hardly see RSI at those extremes, sometimes months and months on the daily
[01:13 pm] rusty : but I notice these e signals coming more often lately with the advent of high freq trading
[01:13 pm] rusty : high vix rsi[01:15 pm] Mitch K: i'll start playing around with RSI, start noticing it. Maybe it is the cute girl in the dark corner of a party that never got noticed
[01:15 pm] Mitch K: well, RSI looks like a quick and dirty indicator to get a snapshot picture
[01:15 pm] rusty : and then buy the etf or the best stock in the sector
[01:15 pm] rusty : rsi is good with swings....find a down beaten sector with a low rsi...
[01:16 pm] rusty : and advises to buy them when & 80
[01:16 pm] rusty : CNBC routinely declares sectors and stocks DEAD when their rsi is less than 20
[01:16 pm] rusty : you can't make this up if you tried
[01:17 pm] Mitch K: finding a downbeat sector is using a ETF that represents a sector and then applying RSI to it?
[01:17 pm] rusty : GS often adds stocks to their conviction buy list when rsi is near 80
[01:18 pm] Mitch K: i think it's good to buy stocks when the chart is in the upper right hand corner of the chart but we haven't seen that for a while
[01:18 pm] Mitch K: that seems opposite of my intuition. they are buying strong stocks but assumption is it will keep moving up. that only happens in strong bull run or bull mkt[01:18 pm] rusty : yes
[01:19 pm] rusty : it gets tricky at high rsi's....the computers seem to be pushing higher than an individual would
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