Chat Highlights From 07/03/2014

TSA Moderator ChatUser Chat
(05:55 am) Mitch King:05:30 *(US) INITIAL JOBLESS CLAIMS: 315K V 313KE; CONTINUING CLAIMS: 2.579M V 2.56ME - 4-week avg claims: 315.0K v 314.50K prior - Source TradeTheNews.com (05:55 am) Mitch King:05:30 *(US) JUN CHANGE IN NONFARM PAYROLLS: +288K V +215KE (5th straight month above 200K); CHANGE IN PRIVATE PAYROLLS: +262K V +215KE - Change in Manufacturing Payrolls: +16K v +10Ke - Two-month Net Revision: +29K v -6K prior - Birth-Death Adjustment: +121K v +205K prior - Prior Change in Nonfarm Payrolls revised higher from +217K to 224K - Prior Change in Private Payrolls revised higher from +216K to +224K - Prior Change in Manufacturing Payrolls revised higher from +10K to +11K - Source TradeTheNews.com (05:56 am) JoeyTSA :early gap down: BIND,TKMR,RGDO (05:57 am) JoeyTSA :early gap up: PETM, DRL, LULU, CREE (06:00 am) Mitch King:Premarket UP: DRL, PETM, RAD, LULU Premarket DOWN: TKMR, NQ, RGDO WATCHING: BIND, CREE, (06:27 am) JoeyTSA :eye on GPRO (06:30 am) Mitch King:watching USU drop, let it drop a lot, tiny float of 4.59 mil shares (06:31 am) Mitch King:watching AFOP, moving up (06:32 am) Mitch King:watching GILD for top, no hurry (06:32 am) Mitch King:DRL new high (06:32 am) Mitch King:watchign CREE for top to short, no hurry (06:32 am) Qwert :watching CMI (06:33 am) Mitch King:watching USU, closely for bottom, down 18% (06:33 am) Mitch King:life insurance companies moving: MET, PRU, HIG, (06:33 am) Mitch King:watching CMA for top to short (06:34 am) JoeyTSA :ey on WUBA for bottom, lower vol (06:34 am) Mitch King:USU could drop to low 8s on this drop here (06:37 am) JoeyTSA :eye on /CL pullback (06:41 am) Qwert :monitoring DSW (06:41 am) Mitch King:microshort on GBX soon (06:43 am) Mitch King:watching DRL, dropped below this mornings premarket open, support lost (06:44 am) Mitch King:CBAK moving, 2nd big up day, low priced (06:45 am) Mitch King:careful with USU and DRL if you go long, bottom could and should fall out under (06:45 am) Mitch King:06:45 *(US) JUN FINAL MARKIT US SERVICES PMI: 61 V 61.0E - Composite PMI: ## v 61.1 prelim - Employment Index: ## v 55.4 prelim - Source TradeTheNews.com (06:51 am) Qwert :monitoring FEYE (06:52 am) Mitch King:RAI moving (06:52 am) Qwert :LO moving (06:52 am) JoeyTSA :LO spike (06:54 am) Murano :watching TSLA (06:59 am) Mitch King:DRL starting downtrend (07:00 am) Mitch King:07:00 *(US) JUN ISM NON-MANUFACTURING COMPOSITE: 56.0 V 56.3E Sub Indices: - New Orders: ## v 60.5prior - Employment: ## v 52.4 prior - Inventories: ## v 55.5 prior - Prices Paid: ## v 61.4 prior - Source TradeTheNews.com (07:03 am) Mitch King:im not getting on long side of DRL or GPRO unless bigger drop first (07:05 am) Mitch King:realize that if you do take any long trades in USU or DRL or GPRO that you are in a countertrend trade and your profit targets should be much lower because you are going against the trend. must be nimble, flexible mentally (07:06 am) Mitch King:example is if your normal profit target is 50 cents, then a countertrend trade should be 20-25 cents a share and is a quicker trade (07:11 am) Mitch King:GBX breaking out higher highs (07:12 am) Mitch King:long way to drop on DRL, could hit $7.25 today. USU could easily go under $8 today (07:28 am) Mitch King:GMCR strong, new high of day (07:29 am) Qwert :monitoring PCG (07:30 am) Mitch King:07:30 *(US) WEEKLY EIA NATURAL GAS INVENTORIES: V +100 BCF VS. + 99BCF TO + 103BCF EXPECTED RANGE - Source TradeTheNews.com (07:31 am) Mitch King:monitoring FEYE for bottom to buy, not ready, more downside, low priority, countertrend trade (07:31 am) Mitch King:new low of day on USU (07:33 am) Mitch King:GMCR topping action (07:33 am) Mitch King:chart in background is natural gas futures after weekly report 3 min ago (08:27 am) Mitch King:GPRO short here (08:35 am) Mitch King:profit target reached on the GPRO short (08:55 am) Ed :Hey gang, you all been staying discplined?? (08:58 am) Ed :Well have a wonderful 4th of July weekend, be stopping by again soon (09:38 am) Mitch King:USU dropping (09:42 am) Mitch King:GPRO new low, high flyers selling off, 17 min left to closing (09:49 am) Mitch King:DRL, GPRO, USU at low of day, i would not expect much short covering (06:07 am) Mitch King:NQ 9-14 steady uptrend this morning, Nasdaq futures (05:28 am) toby1115 :gm (05:49 am) JoeyTSA :Good morning Murano,Qwert,traders (05:50 am) JoeyTSA :final services@ :45 I @ 7, nat gas @ 7:30...markets close @ 10pdt and its also opx (05:50 am) Murano :good morning (06:00 am) JoeyTSA :/ES testing R2 res (06:01 am) Qwert :Good morning everyone (06:28 am) Mitch King:yeah joey, should be good trades both directions on GPRO, needed to rebound from yesterdays drop, backing and filling type of action (06:28 am) JoeyTSA :yep (06:29 am) Mitch King:there is usually good trading on shortened holiday trading days, volatile, one-sided toward the bullish side (06:29 am) Mitch King:like day after thanksgiving, christmas, etc. (07:00 am) JoeyTSA :thx Mitch (07:04 am) Qwert :thx for advice Mitch (07:12 am) Murano :reduce TSLA if long (07:14 am) Mitch King:when you do try to go long a stock like USU and DRL, you should feel like you are on thin ice in a spring thaw cycle (07:14 am) Mitch King:realize we are on the correction cycle of the trade, not the upside momentum part of move which was a day or two ago (07:15 am) Mitch King:you can buy on the dip of a big mover on Day 1 of the cycle. most people make money on that day. Trading for Dummies make money on that day (07:16 am) Mitch King:now a chart like PETM that was up $10 this morning or 20% is now on a downtrend, you short the tops of rebounds (07:19 am) Mitch King:the 1 min chart pattern you want to see on a stock like USU is an accelerating down vol and sharp price drop before considering buying. this current trend is a sustainable downtrend. the accelerated price and vol pattern is when you tend to get sellers exhaustion on a drop. that is most reliable chart pattern i know of in a stock, in short term day trading (07:36 am) freitag8 :Volume in both USU and DRL has really dropped off (07:39 am) Mitch King:yeah frei, plus market closes in jsut over 2 hours from now (07:40 am) JoeyTSA :cant imagine any huge vol swell (07:40 am) Mitch King:me neither, feels like 11am pacific time already (07:40 am) Mitch King:its basically a 4 day weekend (07:41 am) JoeyTSA :yeah, im calling it a day @ 9pdt at the latest (07:41 am) Mitch King:right, i was thinking earlier (07:41 am) freitag8 :what time are the Futures closing? (07:42 am) Qwert :Yeah im going to the gym in 45 minutes (07:42 am) JoeyTSA :not sure (07:42 am) Mitch King:only thing im watching is a short on FEYE on top of this rebound (07:42 am) JoeyTSA :same here Qwert, then heading to Fremont St later today :) (07:42 am) Mitch King:whats at fremont, horses? (07:42 am) Qwert :whats fremont (07:43 am) JoeyTSA :Fremont St is old Vegas (07:43 am) Mitch King:we better not ask qwert (07:43 am) JoeyTSA :binions, golden nugget etc (07:43 am) Qwert :lol (07:43 am) Qwert :what do you do there? (07:43 am) Mitch King:i was just going to say dont ask qwert (07:43 am) Qwert :hahaha (07:44 am) Mitch King:joey, just tell him horses (07:44 am) JoeyTSA :wife and I are going to get a draft beer at the Main St brewery, then grab some pizza atthe PLaza (07:44 am) Mitch King:good idea before 110 degrees (07:44 am) JoeyTSA :lots of entertainment down there (07:44 am) Qwert :pizza ? do they have a vegan option? (07:44 am) Mitch King:joey, im surprised you eat pizza, gluten, wheat, (07:44 am) JoeyTSA :yeah, they have 1 vegan pizza (07:44 am) Qwert :nice (07:44 am) Mitch King:spelt? (07:44 am) JoeyTSA :also vegan soft serve ice cream (07:45 am) freitag8 :They have a few good Gluten free pizza's out there (07:45 am) JoeyTSA :i eat gluten and wheat (07:45 am) Mitch King:bad for you, terrible on digestive system. (07:45 am) JoeyTSA :some people have issues (07:45 am) Mitch King:makes you feel sluggish (07:45 am) Qwert :we have been going to Pieology and just getting no cheese or meats very tasty with all the veggies (07:46 am) JoeyTSA :lots of pizza places now offer diaya cheese as an option (07:46 am) freitag8 :I go Gluten Free... my GF has Celiacs so I try to accomidate (07:47 am) JoeyTSA :freitag, next time in town check out Pop Up Pizza @ the Plaza, you can get it by the slice (07:48 am) freitag8 :by the Slice? That's very rare (07:48 am) JoeyTSA :yeah, esp for vegan pizza. Slice of Vegas at Mandaly Bay is good too, but you have to buy the whole pizza (07:49 am) JoeyTSA :Qwert: at your gym do they have battle ropes? (07:49 am) Qwert :no its just a spin place today (07:50 am) freitag8 :MY GF best friend lives there so we travel to town a lot and my trading partner has a couple spots at the Las Vegas RV Resort off the road to Purpump... across from target and Famous Daves... we should be coming to town soon (07:50 am) JoeyTSA :oh ok, i ordered one, came on tuesday and worked out with them last night outside in th heat..talk about sweat hah (07:51 am) JoeyTSA :shoot me message any time you arein town (07:51 am) freitag8 :will do (07:54 am) Qwert :Joey is it a big heavy rope. If so I have donre that (07:55 am) JoeyTSA :yeah , usually wrapped around a pole (07:55 am) Qwert :arms out front up and down motion? (07:55 am) JoeyTSA :just like how i found my ex-gf hahahaha (07:55 am) Qwert :hahahha (07:56 am) JoeyTSA :yep up/down, side to side etc (07:57 am) freitag8 :/ng gonna retrace the entire move you think? (07:57 am) rayeh :have a great holiday weekend traders! (07:58 am) regatta :watching URS (07:58 am) freitag8 :u too rayeh (07:58 am) JoeyTSA :enjoy rayeh (08:27 am) JoeyTSA :ok, calling it a week (08:27 am) JoeyTSA :Thanks Mitch,Murano,Qwert, everyone (08:27 am) freitag8 :enjoy youre holiday (08:27 am) Mitch King:later joey (08:28 am) JoeyTSA :have a great and safe holiday (08:28 am) freitag8 :your help is always greatly appreciated (08:28 am) Qwert :SAme here bye everyone off to the gym, enjoy your long weekend cya all on Monday (08:33 am) freitag8 :Bye Q... Be well (08:34 am) freitag8 :Short GPRO into this bear rally (08:36 am) freitag8 :I have my target at 50 cents (08:38 am) freitag8 :Nice trade on GPRO Mitch! (08:41 am) Murano :done for the day, have a good 4th and weekend, see you Monday (08:42 am) Mitch King:see you monday murano, thanks for your help (08:42 am) freitag8 :Have a stellar weekend Murano (08:43 am) freitag8 :covered GPRO short (08:44 am) freitag8 :DRL set new LOD (08:48 am) freitag8 :no shares available to short at IB for DRL (08:58 am) Mitch King:hey ed, how is it going? (08:58 am) Mitch King:you dirty no good trader! (08:58 am) Mitch King:lol (08:58 am) freitag8 :Hiya Ed (08:58 am) Mitch King:ed, everyone left (08:59 am) Mitch King:hey ed, everytime someone asks about you, we just say you are counting your money (09:01 am) Ed :going good Mitch, hey there freitag8 (09:02 am) Ed :Yea figured many took off early (09:03 am) Ed :USU and GPRO have been some nice trading stocks (09:03 am) Mitch King:no kidding, and DRL too (09:04 am) Ed :oh forgot about DRL (09:05 am) Mitch King:also KING this week, was ipo few months ago (09:05 am) Ed :yea another great trading stock (09:06 am) Ed :they sure help with the lackluster summers (09:06 am) Mitch King:lot of good movers lately even though quieter conditions. the quantity is down but the few hot ones are high quality (09:07 am) Ed :Makes it alot easier to focus on those (09:14 am) regatta :just watching GBIM (09:15 am) Mitch King:80 cent spread on GBIM reg (09:15 am) Mitch King:= NO-GO (09:15 am) regatta :yeah, just observing/learning (09:15 am) Mitch King:you got the pattern down though (09:19 am) pirate :Hi Ed...Good to see your still around (09:19 am) Ed :hey there pirate, likewise (09:43 am) regatta :mitch, your swing short USU looking very good from 12 (09:49 am) Mitch King:yeah, there were some shares to short for brief moments last few days but disappear quickly (09:49 am) Mitch King:GPRO seems to have shares available to short last 3 days no problem (09:50 am) Mitch King:DRL had some day before yesterday and a few yesterday (09:50 am) Mitch King:should be decent trading on these on Monday, both ways, smaller profits than what we have been seeing but still decent (09:50 am) Mitch King:both ways means both directions (09:51 am) Mitch King:you remember that "thin ice" word picture i gave earlier? (09:51 am) Mitch King:during a spring thaw cycle? this is what bullshorts do, there is an underlying pressure to sell off (09:51 am) Mitch King:it isnt obvious unless you think about the overall picture (09:52 am) Mitch King:im sure there are principles that must be followed in your field of medicine of what you shouldn't do as an overall practice (09:53 am) regatta :of course (09:55 am) Mitch King:and if those rules are ignored on a consistent basis, the results will eventually be patients getting sick or dying. I like flying airplanes my whole life and parameters of what you can do in flying have immediate consequences that are obvious. but in trading, not so obvious, even thin ice in spring isnt obvious to the ignorant person. (09:56 am) regatta :rules and guidelines are usually in place for a reason (09:58 am) Mitch King:what i find in life, as an observer, is that the reasons why people ignore these rules and guidelines are caused by personal flaws that may be temporary or permanent. such as egotism, fear, greed (09:58 am) Mitch King:some of which i have personally experienced at various times in my own life. (09:59 am) regatta :i agree (09:59 am) Mitch King:what is most helpful in any endeavor is when the student is always evaluating if something they are doing is working or is not working. (10:01 am) Mitch King:without sounding like a psychiatric expert, Obama appears to have such a intense desire to be recognized as someone important in history, that prevents him from seeing really what should be done (10:02 am) Mitch King:and that is blinding (10:02 am) freitag8 :what does "Top and Bottom of Book"? Interactive Brokers is now charging for quotes and calling it Top & Bottom of Book... (10:02 am) Mitch King:add to that a whole lot of emotion, people cannot be highly successful (10:03 am) Mitch King:thats probably level3 info with some more features to depth (10:03 am) Mitch King:you agree doctor? (10:04 am) regatta :i concur with your assessment (10:04 am) Mitch King:have a great long weekend, should be good trading action this next week, esp on Monday (10:05 am) freitag8 :Thanks every1 (10:05 am) regatta :i also think that he has very rigid thought process (10:05 am) Mitch King:I'd focus on GPRO the most, (10:05 am) freitag8 :Have a great Holiday! (10:06 am) Mitch King:yeah, i think so reg. he is really indecisive on the important decisions. he is too concerned about what people think of him and his decisions he seems to get locked up. maybe similar to putting on the green when everyone is looking, that can be uncomfortable for new golfers. any military decisions, he really cant handle that (10:06 am) regatta :he is unwilling to accept or consider any opinion that differs from his (10:06 am) Mitch King:right, (10:06 am) Mitch King:to an extreme (10:07 am) regatta :and the the detriment of the country (10:07 am) Mitch King:yet there are really highly qualified people around him that he seems to be discarding. if they disagree iwth him, he fires them, revolving door really active (10:07 am) Mitch King:not a good management model (10:09 am) Mitch King:see you guys monday (10:10 am) freitag8 :Now that's pegging a number... Mitch called out $7.25 on DRL... LOD = $7.17.... that's pretty awesome (10:12 am) freitag8 :07:12 am Mitch K: long way to drop on DRL, could hit $7.25 today. USU could easily go under $8 today
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