Chat Highlights From 06/27/2014

TSA Moderator ChatUser Chat
(05:44 am) JoeyTSA :early levels /CL 106.00-106.20; /ES 19431947, /NQ 3808-3818 (05:46 am) JoeyTSA :early gap up: FINL,MTW,NKE,GMCR..keeping GRPO on radar also (05:47 am) JoeyTSA :early gap down: DD,ISIS..keeping WUBA on radar (06:02 am) Mitch King:Premarket UP: AWRE, MTW, AMPE, NKE Premarket DOWN: CRDS, PFIE WATCHING: GPRO, NKE, DD, FINL, M, EMR, PFE, BMY, MTW, MIK [ipo], UTX, LMT, LBTYA, HPQ, INTC, CTXS (06:15 am) Mitch King:watch GPRO for trades again today, the first bigger drop is the best long entry. (06:28 am) Mitch King:watching GPRO (06:31 am) Mitch King:watching DLPH for short (06:32 am) Mitch King:watching HFC for short (06:33 am) Mitch King:watching MEOH for more upside (06:33 am) Mitch King:will ber a quick scalp long (06:33 am) Mitch King:watching GPRO for next bottom to buy (06:33 am) Mitch King:watching BWA for more upside move (06:34 am) Mitch King:watching DO for more upside, (06:35 am) Mitch King:use limit orders (06:35 am) Qwert :monitoring VJET (06:35 am) Mitch King:ok start reducing GPRO if long, sell at ASK price (06:36 am) Mitch King:consider reducing GPRO here 33.15+ (06:37 am) JoeyTSA :tighten if you took if long on the open (06:37 am) JoeyTSA :GMCR strong so far (06:37 am) Mitch King:watching FFIV for short (06:38 am) Mitch King:watchign FLS for short, (06:38 am) Qwert :monitoring FDO (06:41 am) Mitch King:watching SPWR for microshort (06:41 am) JoeyTSA :eye on WUBA (06:43 am) Mitch King:PCRX moving (06:45 am) Mitch King:YELP moving (06:46 am) JoeyTSA :UofM #s in 8min (06:46 am) JoeyTSA :watching /NQ 3820 area for hold (06:48 am) Qwert :monitoring FFIV (06:55 am) Mitch King:09:55 *(US) JUN FINAL UNIVERSITY OF MICHIGAN CONFIDENCE: 82.5 V 82.0E - Current conditions: ## v 95.4 prelim - Expectations: ## v 72.2 Prelim - 1 yr median inflation expectations at % v 3.0% Prelim - 5 yr median inflation expectations at % v 2.9% Prelim - Source TradeTheNews.com (06:58 am) Mitch King:GPRO testing high (07:01 am) Mitch King:GPRO new high of day [hod] (07:28 am) Mitch King:MIK ipo open, heading down, (07:37 am) Mitch King:looknig for more ddownside on FSLR (07:38 am) Mitch King:best to short stocks on downtrend and long stocks on uptrend (07:44 am) Mitch King:watching GPRO drop here, 36 would be possible bounce, probably sooner on hot stock (07:46 am) Mitch King:i'd look for 37.50 and higher on GPRO on this bounce last 2 min (07:53 am) Mitch King:you see this flat area GPRO is making last 4-5 minutes? this is area to start watching for long entry (07:54 am) Mitch King:on hot stocks like GPRO usually this is good consolidation area that eventually gets another breakout (07:55 am) Mitch King:looks like just went through that now (07:55 am) Mitch King:then you look for higher high over the previous high, which is that 747am pacific time green candle (08:16 am) Mitch King:FFIV new high, watching for short, (08:44 am) Mitch King:buying GPRO on this dip (08:46 am) Mitch King:should get a good bounce in GPRO (08:57 am) Mitch King:FUL spike (09:12 am) JoeyTSA :eue pm WUBA $56 (09:16 am) JoeyTSA :watching QCOR (09:17 am) Mitch King:that means the momentum is lost and the buy on dip strartegy will not work (09:17 am) Mitch King:we are getting lower lows and lower highs on GPRO (10:17 am) Mitch King:WUBA double top, more downside likely (10:23 am) Mitch King:remember you are going against the trend now so be more careful (10:23 am) Mitch King:GPRO long entry for quick scalp, might be 70 cents long side, be nimble (10:40 am) Mitch King:spread is getting bigger at times with GPRO (10:47 am) Murano :watching RAX (10:54 am) Mitch King:13:43 [RAX] Ticking higher on chatter a M&A blog speculates it is having difficulty attracting takeover bids - IBM said to have shown some initial interest, but has since cooled to the idea. **Reminder: on 5/15 RAX confirmed it had been approached by multiple parties who have expressed interest in exploring a strategic relationship, ranging from partnership to acquisition - Source TradeTheNews.com (11:16 am) Mitch King:remember that IPOs wont have the short covering after a big drop or toward end of day if down a lot. Retail traders cannot short ipos this soon. so the bounce wont be that big. if this was a different stock you would want to short this rebound here on GPRO (12:50 pm) Mitch King:ALGN spike (12:54 pm) Mitch King:have a great weekend (12:54 pm) Mitch King:watch GPRO on Monday, should be good trading again, not as good as today but still very good long scalps. wait for good size drop early in session for a long entry at bottom. start small at first, then as you are more confident the bottom is in, then add to long. (05:41 am) JoeyTSA :good morning Murao,Qwert,rayeh.regatta (05:41 am) JoeyTSA :UofM #'s @ 6:55pdt (05:42 am) regatta :gm joey, murano, qwert, rayeh (05:44 am) rayeh :gm (05:45 am) JoeyTSA :trading vol was off 25% yesterda because of that soccer game (05:48 am) Qwert :Good morning Joey, Murano, rayeh, regatta (05:53 am) Murano :good morning (05:54 am) rayeh :gm all! (06:03 am) JoeyTSA :AMSG on radar also (06:31 am) JoeyTSA :nice quick pop on indices (06:32 am) regatta :watching DG (06:39 am) JoeyTSA :/ES fighting to hold 1947 (06:41 am) JoeyTSA :looks like WUBA was halted a the open (06:44 am) JoeyTSA :AAPL slo trend up so far, just watching for now (06:48 am) Mitch King:good eye on WUBA jo (06:52 am) Mitch King:lot of shorts working now (06:57 am) JoeyTSA :time is up for now, should be bck in a couple hours... (06:58 am) JoeyTSA :watch those key indice levels, 1947 on /ES, 106 on /CL (07:01 am) Qwert :enjoy Joey (07:01 am) Qwert :nice call on GPRO Mitch (07:09 am) Mitch King:i missed the big run qwert, was expecting bigger drop and then got distracted with the WUBA short (07:21 am) Mitch King:this GPRO a hot one (07:26 am) Mitch King:hard to call a top on a hot Ipo, they dont act same as other stocks (07:27 am) Mitch King:different rules, more of how it is acting than other measurements (07:27 am) Mitch King:i'd love to see $35 on next drop to get a quick bounce but this is real strong, compared to other ipos ive been watching (07:32 am) Mitch King:GPRO testing high again, prob goes through it (07:32 am) Mitch King:yep, new high (08:02 am) Mitch King:did anyone go long on this last entry (08:02 am) Qwert :im long mitch (08:02 am) regatta :yes at 36.93 (08:02 am) Mitch King:should make its way to 38+, but watch for those big 200,000 to 500,000 orders set at $38 (08:03 am) Mitch King:ok on this dip last 2 candles, i filled long 37.22 on that dip, only do this on a strong uptrending stock, GPRO is great example (08:04 am) Mitch King:ok so that extra position added at 37.22, i just sold 37.58, and 35 cents is good money on a $37 stock, almost 1% (08:04 am) Mitch King:its how you can "work a trade" on the long side (08:05 am) Mitch King:you trade this way on a strong uptrending stock, do the opposite on strong downtrending stocks (08:05 am) Mitch King:now in another hour from now, things usually start cooling off and you see a topping action occur, flat trends. it isnt worth trading after that point the same way (08:06 am) Mitch King:it might start earlier to top on a Friday. but this GPRO type of trading action, is as easy as it gets for trading a predictable trend (08:06 am) Mitch King:there is no hurry to sell, you can pick your price like Eddie Murphy did in the movie 48 hours (08:07 am) Mitch King:no reason to panic sell or panic buy (08:07 am) Mitch King:now watch the ask /offer size (08:07 am) Mitch King:there it is there 20,000 share soffered (08:07 am) Mitch King:at 38 (08:07 am) Mitch King:ok broke through 38, so now you wont see those bigger orders as much (08:08 am) Mitch King:when you have a hot candle like this one i sell some and click SELL ASK (08:08 am) Mitch King:only works on a rising big candle to get filled (08:08 am) Mitch King:i'd reduce heree (08:08 am) Mitch King:we are talking GPRO (08:09 am) Mitch King:to play the percentages, you reduce a little here (08:09 am) Mitch King:don't be thinking tops and bottoms, think about playing the odds correctly (08:09 am) Qwert :thx Mitch (08:10 am) Mitch King:ok next area of resistance is 39 and then a new high level of 39.25,, be away selling is going to occur (08:10 am) regatta :got phone call and closed GRPO at 38.25, a little too early (08:10 am) Mitch King:if you see bigger and bigger candles then you have to sell (08:10 am) Mitch King:also, watch for double top, first top was the one that established 39.25 high with big shadow or wick on top (08:10 am) Mitch King:ok busted right through, going to make new high (08:11 am) Mitch King:i'd reduce again here (08:11 am) Mitch King:new high getting rejected, i close heree (08:11 am) Mitch King:but we will see this again when it pulls back to the 38 level (08:12 am) Mitch King:the only clue that it may not be as strong the next long cycle is the 2nd top was rejected, so far (08:12 am) Mitch King:ok new high, this is what you want to continue same pattern of trading, which is buy on dip, no hurry to buy on dips though (08:13 am) Mitch King:breakthroughs into new highs get more volume, bigger candle, see that last candle? (08:13 am) Qwert :GPRO is a beast (08:13 am) Mitch King:dont be temped to panic buy, only amateurs do that now (08:14 am) Mitch King:ok any rebound attempt like this candle is not meaningful (08:14 am) Mitch King:we pullback a little more, probably 38.50 level, 38 is possible but strong stock (08:14 am) rayeh :MK, if out of GPRO do we continue to watch for pullbacks to go long again? (08:14 am) Mitch King:yes ray (08:15 am) Mitch King:not yet, it needs to pattern same way the last top did that established the 39.25 top (08:15 am) rayeh :tx (08:15 am) Mitch King:which was 736am pacific time (08:15 am) Mitch King:ok, this is just a really hot one, havent seen this in a long time (08:16 am) Mitch King:generally, 98% of the time, you dont use that green candle after that bigger red candle as a buy signal (08:16 am) Mitch King:again, you have to stay with the odds, play the percentages (08:17 am) Mitch King:is this helping you guys? great opportunity for live master class, hehe (08:17 am) Qwert :yes thank you mitch (08:18 am) Mitch King:this is dangerous time emotionally for traders but the pros will wait (08:18 am) Mitch King:might take another 10 minutes to establish that flat area i pointed out i think below $37 maybe 740am? all times are pacific i post (08:30 am) Mitch King:who is long GPRO now (08:30 am) Mitch King:? (08:31 am) Mitch King:keep half to see if it challgenes new high, it gets less likely a new high is reached the later in the day (08:31 am) Mitch King:i'd guess 40 is going to have resistance (08:32 am) Mitch King:good place to sell, use limit to sell at ASK often,, look for small rebound to sell heree (08:32 am) Mitch King:on this green candle heree 39.75 or below good (08:32 am) Mitch King:right here 39.77 good exit (08:32 am) Mitch King:wants to pullback (08:33 am) Mitch King:likely to see 39.25 to be place it pullsback (08:33 am) Mitch King:maybe $39 (08:33 am) Qwert :i missed last entry on GPRO argg (08:33 am) Mitch King:another opportunity will come, its this hot, will be another long entry (08:34 am) Mitch King:probably in 10 min and prob 39.30 area (08:40 am) Mitch King:taking break (08:57 am) Mitch King:sorry about that, got locked up (09:03 am) Mitch King:when you see those big spikes down on GPRO, you are seeing institutional selling, larger orders (09:04 am) Qwert :test (09:04 am) JoeyTSA :i see you qwert (09:05 am) Qwert :thx joey (09:15 am) Murano :KING spike (10:29 am) rayeh :tx MK for last gpro (10:33 am) rayeh :have a great weekend everyone (10:34 am) Mitch King:take care Ray (10:40 am) Murano :monitoring NS (10:45 am) Murano :reduce NS if long (10:49 am) JoeyTSA :ugly move on RAX (10:54 am) Murano :reduce RAX if long (10:59 am) Murano :out last 1/4 NS (10:59 am) Qwert :back in a bit (11:03 am) Murano :out last 1/4 RAX (11:19 am) Murano :FSC spike (11:38 am) JoeyTSA :Thanks Mitch, Murano, Qwert, everyone (11:38 am) JoeyTSA :enjoy the weekend, see you all on monday (11:38 am) Mitch King:later joey (11:40 am) Murano :see you Joey (12:16 pm) Murano :done for the day, have a good weekend, see you Monday (12:35 pm) Qwert :Going to the beach for acouple days will be back Wednesday morning, but will probably check in Monday and Tuesday morning because I love this stuff. :) (12:49 pm) Mitch King:ok thats funny, probably on laptop on the beach under umbrella (01:35 pm) Qwert :yep thats where i will be Mitch or at the pool :)
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