Chat Highlights From 05/27/2014

TSA Moderator ChatUser Chat
(05:28 am) JoeyTSA :levels /ES 190-1907;/NQ 3687-3695;/CL 104.00-104.40
(05:44 am) JoeyTSA :gap up: BCRX,HSH,AAPL,SAP
(05:45 am) JoeyTSA :gap down: DRTX,PF,AZN
(06:05 am) Mitch King:5/27/2014 6:04:11 AM  *(US) MAR FHFA HOUSE PRICE INDEX M/M: 0.7% V 0.5%E; Q/Q: 1.3% V 1.3%E- Prior MoM revised XXX from 0.6% to % – Prior QoQ revised XXX from 1.2% to % – Source TradeTheNews.com
(06:11 am) Mitch King:Premarket UP:  BCRX, HSH, ARO, NWBO, NADL, VRNG, ODP, PPC, KNDI, GTAT, NBG, DDD, AAPL, Premarket DOWN:  TVIX, PF, DRTX, JKS, EONC, LIVE, AZN, Also WATCHING:  PPC, AZO, SPLS, HD, ICE, JWN, INTU, BAC, GM, PFE, AMGN
(06:17 am) Mitch King:27 May 03:20 [BCRX] Announces Positive Results From OPuS-1, a Phase 2 Trial of BCX4161 for the Prophylactic Treatment of Hereditary Angioedema – Source TradeTheNews.com
(06:30 am) Mitch King:watching ENBL
(06:30 am) Mitch King:watching CPHD
(06:30 am) Qwert :watching              &nb; sp;   CAVM
(06:31 am) Mitch King:watching PCAR
(06:32 am) Mitch King:watching JKS for top to short, no hurry
(06:32 am) JoeyTSA :watching FB
(06:32 am) Mitch King:watching ENOC for top to short
(06:32 am) Mitch King:watching ISIS for uptrend
(06:33 am) Mitch King:Z trending up
(06:33 am) Mitch King:watchign DDD for top, big spread
(06:34 am) Mitch King:watching TRLA for trades, next one a short on top
(06:34 am) Mitch King:monitoring RXN
(06:35 am) Mitch King:PCAR strong
(06:35 am) Mitch King:watching TIF
(06:35 am) Mitch King:watchign AMT  for short
(06:35 am) JoeyTSA :eye on NFLX $400,  LNKD $160
(06:36 am) Mitch King:watching EXC
(06:36 am) Mitch King:watching NAV for top to short, no hurry
(06:37 am) Mitch King:watching PTCT for short
(06:38 am) Mitch King:DATA trending up
(06:39 am) Mitch King:watching ENOC closer
(06:39 am) Mitch King:OPEN trending up, watching for top to short though
(06:40 am) Mitch King:watching BCEI for quick bounce
(06:40 am) Mitch King:microtrade on CAR
(06:40 am) Mitch King:watching CAR
(06:41 am) Mitch King:expecting more downside on BCRX, still shortable
(06:41 am) Qwert :Watching AAL
(06:41 am) Mitch King:watching GMCR for top to short
(06:42 am) Mitch King:watching BAS
(06:42 am) Mitch King:watching SYNA for top to short, take time
(06:42 am) Mitch King:JAZZ strong
(06:43 am) Mitch King:IRBT trending up
(06:43 am) Mitch King:watching SYNA
(06:44 am) Mitch King:watching AKRX for trades, first one short on this top
(06:45 am) JoeyTSA :putting KORS on radar
(06:45 am) Mitch King:watching N
(06:46 am) Mitch King:TRIP new high
(06:46 am) Mitch King:watching RGLD for bottom to buy
(06:47 am) Qwert :monitoring FE
(06:47 am) Mitch King:watching PCYC for short on top of this bounce, may take a while, no hurry
(06:52 am) JoeyTSA :tighten FB if long
(06:54 am) Mitch King:watching EXP for short
(06:54 am) Qwert :monitoring DRTX
(06:56 am) JoeyTSA :eye on /ES 1907
(06:57 am) Mitch King:BCRX under 10, watching for small bounce, then another short
(06:59 am) Mitch King:watchign YY for bottom to buy
(06:59 am) Mitch King:5/27/2014 6:59:10 AM  *(US) MAY RICHMOND FED MANUFACTURING INDEX: 7 V 5E- Shipments: ## v +6 prior – Volume of new orders: ## v +10 prior – Order backlog: ## v -9 prior – Number of employees: ## v +4 prior – Wages: ## v +6 prior – Source TradeTheNews.com
(07:00 am) Mitch King:5/27/2014 7:00:04 AM  *(US) MAY CONSUMER CONFIDENCE: 83 V 83.0E- Expectations index: 84.9 prior (revised from 84.9) – Present situation index: 78.3 prior (revised from 78.3) – Those saying jobs are “plentiful”: % v 12.9% prior (revised from 12.9% prior) – Those saying jobs are “hard to get”: % v 32.5% prior (revised from 32.5% prior) – Source TradeTheNews.com
(07:10 am) Qwert :monitoring SALE
(07:22 am) Mitch King:CAVM, MOVE new high
(07:24 am) Mitch King:watching BITA, monitoring
(08:43 am) Mitch King:TOUR short idea
(10:09 am) Murano :monitoring THRM
(10:23 am) Qwert :monitoring gtat
(12:07 pm) Mitch King:5/27/2014 11:50:15 AM Teva Pharmaceutical Industries Ltd Receivess Favorable European Patent Office Ruling i – Source TradeTheNews.com
(11:51 am) Qwert :TEVA spike
(12:07 pm) Mitch King:that came out at 1150am pt

(05:26 am) JoeyTSA :Good morning Qwert, traders
(05:27 am) JoeyTSA :flash services @ 6:45, cb consumr confidence and richmondmanu @ 7pdt
(05:43 am) Qwert :Good morning Joey, Murano, everyone
(05:43 am) JoeyTSA :hey Murano, i see yuo guys have some big storms in your area
(05:49 am) Murano :storming right nos
(05:49 am) Murano :now
(05:49 am) JoeyTSA :yeah, saw lots of “red” heading your way
(05:51 am) Murano :got back to the house just before the rain last night
(05:51 am) JoeyTSA :hopefully it wont mess with your internet today
(05:53 am) Murano :the major part of the storm looks to be about 5 minutes away looking at the internet pictures
(05:54 am) JoeyTSA :oh ok
(05:54 am) Qwert :Murano I forget where are you at?
(05:55 am) JoeyTSA :houston
(05:55 am) Qwert :ah thanks
(05:58 am) skydiver  :gm all – PPC proposes to acquire HSH for $45 per share in all cash deal
(06:17 am) skydiver  :BCRX – BioCryst announces positive results from OPuS-1, a trial of BCX4161
(06:18 am) JoeyTSA :/CL lot $104
(06:18 am) JoeyTSA :lost
(06:29 am) skydiver  :Here we go
(06:35 am) Murano :internet back on
(06:36 am) JoeyTSA :eye on TSLA if it hits $210
(06:52 am) Qwert :there it goes joey
(06:53 am) JoeyTSA ::)
(06:53 am) JoeyTSA :it jumped, i didnt do an early entry on TSLA
(06:53 am) JoeyTSA :see if $210 holdson retest
(06:57 am) JoeyTSA :AAPL pushing tru $620
(06:57 am) JoeyTSA :through
(06:59 am) JoeyTSA :thx Mitch
(07:02 am) harlen444  :mitch i went long on bcrx at 10.75 as you didnt indicate  short
(07:06 am) Qwert :Harlen both the posts Mitch made on BCRX were for short, one at 6:41 and then again at 6:57
(07:11 am) Mitch King:hi harlen, thats a big drawdown to take on a short, 7%. i like to see what trend is and stay with that as much as possible, except for quick countertrend trades like YY
(07:12 am) Mitch King:if you take a trade against the trend, you have to be flexible to quick and nimble and get back on the trend after that quick trade
(07:13 am) Mitch King:when a stock like YY drops from 65 to 60.50 like this morning, a long is a quicker small trade and after selling that long i look for a short to resume that downtrend it has been on
(07:13 am) Mitch King:TRLA is same thing too
(07:15 am) Mitch King:see how BCRX bounce has ran into trouble last 12-15 minutes?  i like to sell any long when it struggles like this,cant stay above 10.25 easily
(07:17 am) Mitch King:the biggest profits are on the short side of YY, and longs are about 1/3rd to 1/4th as much shorts.  so when you see whatever side a stock is giving the most profits is the side you want to be on, general rule that keeps you on the right side of trade
(07:18 am) Mitch King:guy on tv was jetblue founder, went to Brazil
(07:18 am) Mitch King:Azul means blue doesnt it?  he founded Jetblue and sold out
(07:20 am) Mitch King:ok now Harlen, or anyone, see YY how it bounced and then has turned over?  i had a small long then shorted that top when it started turning over.  there is plenty of time to make that decision and not be that late.
(07:21 am) Mitch King:generally, its better to be on the late side of a trade, so in my mind, i know i have plenty of time to make that decision as i mentioned earlier about a short on YY to watch for the stock to resume its trend
(07:22 am) Qwert :thx Mitch
(07:22 am) Mitch King:TRLA is a lot more bullish of a stock as you can see on the daily chart as well; its pattern the last week on day trading chart, 1 min, has also been very bullish stock
(07:22 am) Mitch King:so the YY short is over now,
(07:24 am) Mitch King:ok so now on YY, i am done with it, i might put it on chart, not high priority to watch anymore, its given me a couple trades, its worth watching
(07:25 am) Murano :VRX trying to find bottom
(07:25 am) Qwert :Beautiful money trade on /CL
(07:26 am) Mitch King:now the VRX chart is clearly a downtrend, from the very first trade
(07:27 am) Mitch King:any long trade must be approached from the beginning of a small trade, what is called a countertrend trade.  you have to expect that a bounce will fail  quickly and resume its downtrend.  until after some point it has gone down so much it gets buyers that outweight the sellers.  After a bigger drop like it has had, many sellers are “exhausted” so the balance of power will shift to buyers.  that depends upon the news and what the stock has been doing over a longer period of time as well
(07:30 am) Mitch King:BITA has been strong for three days, a breakout on the daily chart.  For whatever reason that exists, people are buying much more than selling and this pattern can continue until, the same concept as i described above, the balance shifts toward sellers as buyers get “exhausted” and sllers step in.  its like a teeter totter at the playground when they existed many years ago.
(07:32 am) Mitch King:ok now explaining now VRX is acting, you can expect this bounce will get some selling, i like to sell any long while there is still some momentum left on the upside instead of chasing a bad price as it goes down, esp being long on a downtrending stock
(07:34 am) Mitch King:now i post a lot of stocks, cant trade them all.  i like to find stock ideas because i know they will dry up quickly, probably within 30 min of opening.  if you trade just one stock correctly, anything that is moving like what Murnao posted on VRX, you can make a great living.  3 trades on VRX is a good day in itself.  an initial long on first bottom, sell long for small profit, it turns over and proves a long is not continuing. then short, which had $2 profit over next 40 minutes, a small long again and thats actually a decent day.  after you get proficient you can manage 2 or even 3 stocks of thsoe at a time, and ignore all the other posts that we give as ideas
(07:35 am) Mitch King:this pattern repeats over and over, and has since i’ve traded full time since feb 1993
(07:36 am) skydiver  :thanks Mitch — great lesson 🙂
(07:37 am) Mitch King:when a stock  drops early from opening or soon after, my general rule, very general, is that it continues down for quite a while.  on down days in the market, most everything has been selling, negative headlines, bad earnings, bad economic data, surprised the market, you can be short for 2-3 hours and i tend to ignore any bounces because the sentiment has changed or is overwhelmingly negative.  its not negative today but im talking about those really negative days.
(07:38 am) Mitch King:ok back to VRX, its selling for 3 red candles, 1 min chart.  its telling you 1) the long trade is over 2) a short is likely to resume
(07:39 am) Mitch King:if you started to short after the first 2 red candles in the last 3-4 minutes, you start with a smaller position size and not commit all your position size at once, unless you are only trading $8,000 position size for example, its hard to get any advantage by breaking that up in 2 or 3 orders
(07:39 am) Mitch King:lets talk about BCRX again
(07:40 am) Mitch King:this is a 2 min chart on projector and it went from $9 to 11.50 during premarket on news of some phase 2 data.  did you notice the market this last week or two, months actually.  biotechs are hot again
(07:40 am) Mitch King:what was the hot one last week? anyone remember
(07:40 am) Mitch King:was big mover on Friday or thursday
(07:41 am) Qwert :i cant remember
(07:41 am) Mitch King:PTCT
(07:41 am) Mitch King:premarket went from 15 to $40,
(07:42 am) Mitch King:ok so here is a 2 min chart.  headlines were PTCT reports positive Atluren Phase 3 trial results
(07:44 am) Mitch King:what has the market been doing for months?  it has responded to biotech stocks, look at btk-x index, very volatile, favorite sector to trade.  it has been this way for many many years, on and off,  goes in cycles but biotech has been a favorite sector for traders from last 2 decades, really popular right now.  so you should know that is happening
(07:44 am) Mitch King:this is what you write notes on after market
(07:44 am) Mitch King:night time, sort of like memo for next day and week, biotechs are popular trading, both long and short, not one-sided
(07:45 am) Mitch King:so this PTCT, common sense, at first glance, my thoughts were “hhmmm, 15 to $40, interesting short”
(07:46 am) Mitch King:so you should say to your self, it has been going down premarket, dropped $14 during premarket, that should tell you something, common sense:  it probably will continue its downtrend
(07:47 am) Mitch King:so you look for evidence either way, with a logical bias that odds are it drops more.
(07:47 am) Qwert :new low on VRX
(07:52 am) Mitch King:now on the lower left chart on projector with BCRX, you can see from 700am area, it hard a hard time going above the red and black dashed lines, which are 200 sma and 200 ema movign averages.  it has also made new low of days since i started writing about trading.
(07:53 am) Mitch King:so evidence came in that the downtrend is still not over and all this evidence is like road signs while driving, traffic lights, stop signs, etc.
(07:54 am) Mitch King:if you ignore all these signs and lights, eventually you are going to get into an accident, if you drive long enough
(07:55 am) Qwert :i have been in quite a few accidents  🙂
(07:55 am) skydiver  :too funny qwert 🙂
(07:55 am) Mitch King:lets go back to BITA, what is one thought you should or may have now looking at BITA?  anyone, answer
(07:56 am) Mitch King:my thought “is it going to have a double top?”
(07:56 am) Qwert :possible double top there
(07:56 am) Mitch King:right
(07:57 am) Mitch King:i put the daily chart on background chart.  it tells me it has rebounded from $7.25 area to now $11 this morning
(07:58 am) Mitch King:it has been rebounding up from $7 to $9 before todays jump, so we know it has been strong right?  getting higher highs on daily chart, so the odds are being on the long side is better in the last week or more right?  write that down on your trading diary, make notes of stocks.  if you are going ot trade full time, you have to be as professinoal as you would having a job, a career.  that time you put in, pays off a lot
(08:00 am) Mitch King:i write symbols with a few notes, such as STAY ON LONG SIDE.  or watch for spike to short early, whatever it is.  this is what we get paid for.  the more I “wing it” the more problems i have during trading.
(08:01 am) Mitch King:sorry had wrong background chart, didnt match lower left chart
(08:01 am) skydiver  :Thanks Mitch for awesome lesson calls etc.  My time is up unfortunately — copying chat history — see you all later 🙂
(08:02 am) Murano :see you sky
(08:02 am) skydiver  ::)
(08:02 am) Qwert :cya sky
(08:04 am) Mitch King:headlines that Foxxconn to begin building apple 4.7 inch iphone 6 production in July, 5.5″ models coming out in few months later
(08:17 am) Murano :monitoring NFLX
(08:37 am) JoeyTSA :JAZZ strong today
(08:37 am) JoeyTSA :eye on /CL $104.20 level
(08:42 am) Qwert :back i a few gonna eat breakfast
(08:44 am) Mitch King:TOUR ipo 2 weeks ago, might be hard to find shares to short
(08:46 am) JoeyTSA :enjoy Qwert
(08:46 am) JoeyTSA :nice move on TOUR
(08:51 am) JoeyTSA :TOUR on the T list at lightspeed
(09:02 am) regatta  :watching low priced HIMX
(09:10 am) Murano :reduce NFLX if long
(09:13 am) Murano :are you short HIMX regatta?
(09:14 am) regatta  :no, was just watching for possible bounce
(09:15 am) regatta  :wish i had it short
(09:15 am) Murano :interesting around 7.15/7.20
(10:29 am) JoeyTSA :really quiet
(10:32 am) Qwert :Zzzzzzzzzzz
(10:32 am) JoeyTSA :yep
(10:33 am) JoeyTSA :only10:30 and ts already 95 outside
(10:48 am) Qwert :u have a pool Joey?
(10:49 am) JoeyTSA :i used to, got rid of it about 10yrs ago
(10:49 am) JoeyTSA :was too hot to go out and swim actually
(10:49 am) Qwert :Would think it would be nice to have there at times
(10:49 am) JoeyTSA :we do have a community pool here though
(10:49 am) JoeyTSA :pools are a pain in the butt to take care of
(10:50 am) Qwert :when its to hot to swim its just too hot period
(10:50 am) JoeyTSA :and now, i only swim in salt water pools
(10:50 am) Qwert :I know I have one
(10:50 am) JoeyTSA :so i dont swim much
(10:50 am) Qwert :We had a salt water pool, much nicer than the standard chlorine
(10:51 am) JoeyTSA :yeah, got rid of my jacuzzi also
(11:42 am) JoeyTSA :Thanks Mitch,Murano,Qwert, calling it a day, enjy the rest of the aftenoon
(12:46 pm) Murano :done for the day, see you tomorrow
(12:46 pm) Mitch King:thanks murano
(12:58 pm) Qwert :Bye everyone have a great night
(12:59 pm) Mitch King:LATER GUYS, see you tomorrow

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